Wednesday, May 27, 2009

MILLIONAIRE earning racehorses.

1...There has been a lot of focus recently on the new Millionaires
MINE THAT BIRD-(5wins-Kentucky Derby-$2,011,581) and
RACHEL ALEXANDRA-(Ken Oaks, Preakness)- the earner
of $1,618,354.

2...We have been collecting information on MILLIONAIRE
earning racehorses for over a year now because they represent
the absolute pinnacle of achievement and its a measurable
comparison with all other horses in competition at the moment.

3..I think that this information will give newcomers into the
breeding and racing ranks some odds to consider, an aim or
target , or an idea of their chances of breeding a super star.

4...My parents and 2 sisters have carefully kept and beautifully
appointed properties that have been mooted as million dollar
properties and we joined the club ourselves, which all helps
to be able to keep a very expensive racehorse. Reminds me
that to make a small fortune racing horses, you need to start
with a large fortune.

5..We selected RED MAGIC's sire Istidaad to come to
New Zealand, and he won $1,757,236 and was a G1
winner and about 9 time G1 placed. He ran 2000m in
1m 59.4 when winning the G1 Australian Cup and over
1800m in the G2 George Main Stakes he ran 1m 45.32,
so was a very serious racehorse.

6...We also trained, and raced a colt called MAGIC MILLION
over 30 years ago. He had a phenomenal finishing burst which
was predicted on his breeding methods. Among his wins, he
came from last to be first twice at Trentham but unfortunately
he broke down several times.
We have endeavoured to include the same MAGIC METHOD
that he had into RED MAGIC's pedigree, hence his name.

Yesterday was a really nice sunny day, and after I took his
cover off, he was rearing in the air, flying around the paddock,
snorting and really putting on a great show for all the neighbours.
Even in the middle of winter, he has a nice shiny, healthy coat.
Was able to settle him down and get him wormed this
morning even though he wanted to rear, rush around, bite
and play. He is alert, physical and very well at the moment,
probably overfed for a horse not in work, so keen to get him
away into pretraining in a couple of weeks.

7... RED MAGIC is bred on a cross of 2 MILLIONAIRES.
His sire ISTIDAAD-($1,757,236) across the MILLIONARE
earning broodmare sire MOUNTAIN CAT-($1,478,901)

8...The special crosses in this pedigree were known about 6
or 7 years ago when research revealed a very powerful
method. Since that discovery we have noticed more than 14
current MILLIONAIRES racing that have the special
combination of crosses in their pedigrees, and in most cases it
is the primary or main cross in their makeup.

9...With this impetus, we've been actively looking for and
collecting data on horses that reached this magical status.
The aim is to delve into these pedigrees thoroughly and
see just what is making them tick, check the consistency of
the background intensities, check for the variations on the
main themes that Nature rewards, and to increase knowlege
on neccesary trends, selection, and ancestor performance.

10..There are dozens of ways that horses can be matched
and compared, such as number of races won, amount of
money won, Free handicap rankings, Match Rracing, number
of G1 or Graded Stakes won, Timeform Ranking, speed
ratings etc.

11...In the gathering process, I soon realized that ranking
horses on MILLIONAIRE earnings did not always measure
the best because of differences in time and locations, but it
does isolate and identify a very special group of horses.

12...Many potential champions just never get into a major
Stakes Race because they break down, have an accident,
are poorly trained, or are rushed off to stud prematurely.

13...Also, there is a great disparity in Stakes on offer in
certain countries. New Zealand cannot compete with the
vast resources of Australia. Italy cannot compete with
the U.S.A. and Britain can't compete with Japan/Hong Kong.

14...Initially, I thought I might be able to collect data on about
200, perhaps up to 300 MILLIONAIRES, but its been an
eye-opener as the painstaking search kept adding and adding
names to the list, but my method has probably only allowed
me to find about half the possible candidates. Just wish I had
access to the Jockey Club lists, or someone would kindly
publish a definitive list from a source like the current USA
AMERICAN RACING MANUAL.

15...Like all research into technical areas, someone, usually
individuals, have to put in countless thousands of hours
of painstaking data collection so that it can be analyzed carefully.

16...We have been really surprized with the huge upsurge
over the last few years with the huge increase in MILLION
DOLLAR races being carded and made available.

17...Even here in little New Zealand, we had an inititive
developed and implementated with Government help last year.
The $2 million Kelt Capital stakes and the $1million Karaka
sales incentive race have been added to by another four more
million dollar races. eg..$2.2 million Derby, $1 million Auckland
Cup, $1 million 2000 Guineas, and $1 million Telegraph Sprint.

18...There is a difference in the value of the dollars being
offered in different countries. The Australian dollar is worth
over 20% more than New Zealand dollars. The USA
dollar is worth 40% more, and the Euro is worth 200% more.

19...I do have an old 1966 THE AMERICAN RACING
MANUAL and it lists 174 horses that won over $300,000
and due to the lowered value of money at that time, only 5
of those horses were actual MILLIONAIRES over 40 years
ago in the days before the following very high and continual
inflation rises.

20..Looking at the list, and number of wins etc, it would appear
that every one of these horses would rank as MILLIONAIRES
today based on the money available for the same races today,
that they won many years ago.

21...This shows clearly that inflation spoils the ability to be able
to make a fair comparison of racing class when comparing
the best racehorses of different eras.

It does make a good comparison with horses that raced against
each other in the same time frame many years ago, and it does
compare present day horses against each other where a
graduated difference can be seen between those that have won
over a Million dollars and those that haven't at the present time.

22...What struck me most forcefully was the huge number
of wins some of those older greats achieved.

Without making an exhaustive comparison, it seems that there
were sounder, tougher horses that raced and won more often
40 years ago, especially in the USA compared with today.

23..Here are examples from the 1966 AMERICAN
RACING MANUAL. Llook at the soundness, toughness
and ability to repeat of these examples.

2 horses had more than 40 wins
2 horses had more than 35 wins
7 horses had more than 30 wins
11 horses had more than 25 wins
34 horses had more than 20 wins
52 horses had more than 15 wins.

24..Compare that soundness and toughness with the
breakdowns, injuries and defections among this years
and last years USA classic contenders.

25...Having just worked through 8 catalogues of the 2008
September Yearling Sale held at Keeneland, I have been
struck by the large number of commercial matings which are
totally unbalanced. A huge number of sires with very restricted
racing careers are being used. An overemphasis is being
placed on matching speed with speed, and this tends to
produce shorter pasterned horses with less shock absorbtion.
Plus it produces horses which are unbalanced physically, and
leads to many precocious youngsters being overstressed as
2yos.
Speed x speed matings tend to mature early, and fail to train on.
They also have limitations with distance, and being on the
outer edge of Natures continual search for balance, they tend
to be less able to repeat performances at 3,4,5 and 6 years
of age when mature middle distance conformation horses
are showing their toughness and have the build to wind up,
accelerate at the end of their races and repeat top
performances year after year.

26..The Commercial breeders find it much easier and much
quicker to put Black Type sires to Black Type mares/families
where the speed comformation produces better muscle and
a more mature yearling for the sale ring.

27..To put classic and staying bred yearlings in the ring can
produce a proportion of immature yearlings, finer builds, and
attract less bids. Staying bred yearlings take more time and
it definitely is much harder for the breeder to ensure class or
speed is put into this staying framework.

28..I wonder if the lure of lucrative Stallion Fees, greed,
commercial breeding for huge yearling returns, determined
selection for speed traits, over-emphasis on early 2yo speed
for ever increasing glittering rewards, or over reliamce on
drugs are affecting the soundness of American racehorses.

29...This is a concern to us here in New Zealand, because we
have gone from a few USA bred stallions at stud here in the
60's and 70's progressively through to a total dominance of
USA breeding in our stallions.

30...We had a reputation for soundness, toughness and stamina,
but our commercial breeders have mostly become dedicated
Sales yearling sellers. The dozen major studs have achieved
huge success and many minor studs have disappeared.

31...The emphasis now seems to be on precosity, early
maturing, early growth, and good muscling for the sale ring.
This seems to have resulted in an overall growth in sprinting
speed, less hardiness, more breakdowns, and less sounder,
tougher and stamina orientated horses being produced.

32...The best type that breeders should be aiming for is the
Classic 3yo that will win the middle distance classic races,
and then will be even more mature and tougher to win the
richly endowed Cups races as 4yo. These are sound, tough
types we want to be the best sires of the next generations.
These staying horses have real speed as well, and have often
demonstrated their ability to finish over top of the sprinters.

33..However, these horses are rare, and much harder to
breed. It is probably up to 5 times easier to breed a useful
horse by putting a good speed sire to a good speed mare,
allowing for the hybrid background, and common methods
of breeding principles to provide the necessary stamina to
get the minimum distances and allow slightly further.

34...The Major breeding studs in NZ alluded to above have all
increased their acreage 2, 3 or 4 times over. This indicates their
commercial pedigrees and emphasis on speed are working well
and resulting in good profitable returns. All these studs have
good numbers of staff-(although, we've heard their
universal grumblings at the sales. Their consensus is that
they appear to work long hours for less than enviable pay
rates) and the acquisition of these extended properties has been
very beneficial in minimizing the Stud owners tax liabilities.

35...It is now harder to breed a maiden winner because of the
increase in basic speed across the board. Maiden sprints are
being won in 2 to 3 seconds faster time than several decades
ago, forcing intending new breeders and owners to apply
extremely good selection techniques including a high
component of speed in the ancestry of their new horses.

36...Thoroughbred breeding in New Zealand seems to be
following the trend in Europe, USA and Australia which
specialized over the last few decades putting speed horses
to speed mares. We already have evidence of the several
very predictable patterns of earlier maturity, fading, inability
to improve with age, and decay of staying ability.

37...The much vaunted imported Shuttle sires have not made
an impact on our speed records, but have made horses two
to three times more expensive to buy. This places an ever
increasing burden on the poor owner, and it is clear that the
middle-man Stud owners , the Yearling Sales Companies, and
the millions going to the Shuttle Stallion Owners overseas are
the only ones that are making a whole pile of money.

38...If you are a new owner, then you need to stop blindly
following the policies of the above groups of people who are
very organized in their endeavours to make you pay them an
excessive amount of money. You need to get into a position
where you can write the rules. You need to work out a strategy
where the existing structure can be used to your benefit when
you add further value to your product. You need to be able to
select horses of merit from whats available and be able to
identify the potential champion from among the dozens or
hundreds of highly priced ones that will not perform. Again,
knowledge, thorough research and sound thinking should be
essential parts of your plan along the road to consistent success.

39...With Stake Monies only increasing by about 50% in
recent times, owners are worse off than previously. Feed,
transport, farrier, training costs and just about all other
expenditures have doubled or tripled. However, Stud Fees
have soared out of sight in numerous instances. As a general
guide, all Stud Fees in New Zealand should be halved, and
the top half of the Australian Stallions would be much fairer
if they were reduced to a third of their advertised Fee.

40..The yearling Sales are a contrived money making operation
and bear almost no correlation with the actual ability the
horses will demonstate on the racecourse. As a rule of thumb,
about 1 high priced horse out of 10 will succeed and return a
profit on it's purchase price.
OVER 90% FAILURE RATE.
Make sure you are highly selective in your choices!!

41....Looking at the 1966 AMERICAN RACING MANUAL
again, I added up the 1st 100 highest priced yearling sold at
auction to get a rough percentage of the number that would
have earned enough to repay their purchase price.
Out of the top 100, I FOUND ONLY 7 EARNED AN
AMOUNT IN EXCESS OF THEIR PURCHASE PRICE.
This backs up the rule of thumb of 1 in 10 quite well. In fact
when agistment, breaking, training and racing costs are
added, those horses making a profit for their owners could
very well recede to about 3 or 4 in each hundred.

42...These figures must be a big ALARM BELL for an
intending buyer who has very little knowledge of pedigrees,
breeding principles, conformation etc. and therefore has no
demonstrated advantage when bidding against more
knowledgeable buyers.

43....Don't forget these 100 horses are the top or best and
many people were prepared to pay the best money for them.
This probably means they looked well, were well grown with
good muscling, passed the walking test, had the most successful
sires and the best of families, and related to many Stakes
Winners. As the buyers were prepared to pay a lot of money
for them, we could also asssume they had the best training
that money could buy, YET ONLY 7 OUT OF 100
EARNED ENOUGH TO REPAY THEIR PURCHASE.

44...Perhaps your first purchases should be away from the
highest priced lots, perhaps you should get expert help from
the most knowledgeable trainers on conformation, faults,
type, althletic ability, legs and action, and ensure your
intended pedigrees have very good competitive speed.

45.. Then you need to delve into the background of many
hundreds or thousands of the absolute best gallopers and
ensure the principles that helped them become standout
gallopers appear in your pedigrees....Sounds simple?

46...If the 3 or 4 horses out of each hundred that will
realize a profit for the new owner is correct and holds
good today, THEN WE CAN ASSUME THAT MOST
PEOPLE PLANNING AND IMPLEMENTING MATINGS
DO NOT KNOW THE NECESSARY PRINCIPLES OF
SELECTION, SPEED, STAMINA, CONFORMATION,
TYPE, HITTING PREPOTENCY, BUILD-UP OR OTHER
IMPORTANT PRINCIPLES NEEDED TO BREED
OUTSTANDING RACE-HORSES.

47...To succeed, you will need to acquire all this information.

48...Perhaps in your initial plan, you would be advised to
set a BUDGET for the amount of money you would be willing
to pay for your first horse or horses. Remember, there will be
thousands of other horses on offer later in the sale, and the next
year and the year after, so the next tool would be PATIENCE.

49..To minimize the risk, select some good partners and form
a syndicate, but remember even if the group allows more
capital, the higher priced ones are notorious for not throwing up
very many top class gallopers, so shop for quality at VALUE-
FOR-MONEY-RATES.

50..Remember, you still have to buy ABILITY & QUALITY
and CONFORMATION and GOOD BREEDING.

51...A huge number of the MILLIONAIRE EARNING
GALLOPERS I have been studying continually slip through
the sales rings for what can best be described as BARGAIN
BASEMENT PRICES.

52...Some of the constants apart from the generally lower
prices, are that they are indeed very rare, that they do come
in all shapes and sizes, but they can all gallop, so their
conformation and action must be in line with Natures
requirements to withstand the stress of racing.

53...They seem to have multiple talented gallopers close up,
or just behind their initial ancestors, and their pulmonary and
nervous systems are exemplary and highly developed and
efficient.

54..The other constant we have found is the intensity of the
breeding methods and the discernible principles that seem
to also produce very constant results.

55..Over the last 12 months or so, we have been looking on
the internet, in New Zealand cataloques, Australian and
U.S.A cataloques, and we have found details of 951
horses that are listed with their earnings which surpassed
ONE MILLION DOLLARS.

56..During this search, nearly 3 times as many horses have
appeared which won over $300,000 but we have not
had the time to look at these pedigrees in detail yet, but
in a future article, we are contemplating comparing them
with the MILLIONAIRE EARNERS, as well as with
a similar sized group of horses that showed some form by
winning 1 or 2 races, and we already have a huge group
of NON WINNING horses to compare some of the more
involved breeding principles with.

57...we are not quite sure just what the ratio of named foals to
MILLIONAIRE EARNERS would be, but if we assume about
half or 450 of these horses were USA bred, and accept a
recently published figure of 354,878 named foals in the U.S.A
for the years 1991 to 2000, we can arrive at a very loose
GUESTIMATE OF 1 MILLIONAIRE FOR EACH 800
NAMED FOALS.

58...So if you are a newcomer to racing, and intend to breed
or buy a yearling that will win you a MILLION DOLLARS,
you would have a pretty reasonable chance of achieving that
target if you have about 800 shots at the target.

========================================


















Wednesday, May 6, 2009

MODERATE PERFORMANCE IN FIRST 2 DAMS

1…If you have read the article previously written about our un-raced
2yo colt called RED MAGIC-(Istidaad - Catseeka), you will have
seen that I was a bit concerned about 4 or 5 things in the pedigree.

2…If you are a newcomer to racing or ownership, you will find
yourself in such a situation in the future, because if you list about 40
desirable traits/strengths/features that you would like to see in your
horses pedigree or conformation, then in all probability, you will not
find your horse has every box ticked.
So you will have to assess each trait and see just what you have, and
work out if your horse has enough superior traits to outweigh the
faults that you can see. All the faults of course need to be within
tolerable limits, and one very bad fault might be a deal-breaker.

In that case, be highly selective, and move on to the next horse.

3….Here is an example to illustrate the point.
..You want PERFECT front legs……Your horse may toe out slightly
..You want PERFECT back legs…….May be slightly bent, or sickle
..You want 1m7sec 1200m SPEED..May prove to be a 1m10s horse
..You want 3m15sec 3200m STAYING ABILITY…May plug and
get round in 3m25s
..You want PERFECT BALANCE….Might be loaded in shoulders
or be light muscled in hindquarters
..You want PRICE OF $20,000...may cost you $38,000 plus GST.

4….Many people I come across make snap buying decisions in seconds
and certainly do not have a prepared 40 item checklist. It allows them
to boost hype, bias and self delusion, so the main feature that
would guide their futures would be just LUCK or CHANCE.

5…FINANCE and BUSINESS should be based on facts, budgets
and thorough knowledge. YOU NEED A SOUND PLAN
FOR SUCCESS.

6…..RED MAGIC has a problem with his knees and hind leg in
an accident that worries me a bit, but the Vet thinks he will be fine,
so have to accept that opinion & put him into work, and see how
he copes with the stress of racing.

7….It is a worry if he will have enough speed to outweigh his staying
ancestry, but there are several methods to promote speed in his
pedigree, and he is an impressive mover in the paddock, so we are
hoping he has that essential speed to assist his staying potential.

8…One of the bigger worries is that his imported USA dam
CATSEEKA was not a big race winner(Although she was a race
winner) and the grand -dam was unraced-(But her 4 foals have all
been winners). All the rest of the dams out to 5 generations have
averaged over 2.6 Stakes Winners each.

9….This article is an attempt to reassure us that the standout
crosses in his pedigree could actually work on the racetrack, and
to help you realize that LITERALLY hundreds of really
outstanding gallopers have very limited ability in their first 2 dams.
This means that you may be able to rationalize your future pedigrees
if you are unable to tick the box for really outstanding racing ability
in your first 2 dams.

10.However, except for a handful of these pedigrees, the examples
listed below have some really outstanding ancestors, and some
brilliant and complicated breeding methods.

11…Although I am indicating that many really outstanding horses
do have a lack of racing ability in the first 2 dams, I would still
advise you to actively look for horses that have significant ability
in the first or second dam, because I believe that your chances of
success could be up to 10 times better.

12…The sheer number of outstanding horses, and the sheer merit of
their ability shown many times over, gives me huge confidence that
this colt has a really good chance of his outstanding genetic crosses
being able to help him to win some races.

13….To get the following list of horses, I checked a broodmare
sale Catalogue of an auction being held in the last few days here in
New Zealand, a book of Australasian Champions, 6 years of
NZ SW, and a local Waikato sale catalogue held over 30 years ago.

They are listed below if you would like to check any of the records.

NZ catalogue -National Weanling and Broodmare sale-May 2009,
Peter Pring’s Champion racehorses, 6 copies of Wrightsons Stakes
winners 1970 to 1975, Random catalogue-1974 Waikato Ylg Sale.

14…Below are listed the names of the 146 horses I found that
mostly raced in New Zealand, followed by the number of races
they won, names of 3 or 4 of the main races they won, and then
a notation to show the racing ability of the dam, 2nd dam, and
sometimes the 3rd dam.

UNR= un-raced, UNP = unplaced, PLACED = placed, 1w = 1 WIN

NEW ZEALAND EXAMPLES-146 Horses.
Syntax-19w-NZDerby,GNDerby,StL,ManCup……unr…unr…unplaced
RoughHabit-29w-11xG1-Qderby,stradx2,DoomCx3…Unp1x….Unp3x
Tauloch-15w-GNDerby,StL,GNG,WelG,AvonG….1w….pl…..Unr
BattleHeights-24w-SydneyCWellCup,2dAuckCup…Unr……….Unp2x
Kirrama-11w-WellD,GNDerby,WailGuineas………Unp2x…….Unp2x
PanzerChief-12wWellG,GNGuines,NICS,GeoAH….unp……….Unp
SailingHome-17wAuckCup,StarsT,TrenthS..……….Unr……….1w
DutyFree-20w-TrenthS,PresH,StarsT,GeoAH…….placedx2….Placed
MasterJohn-10w-GNDerby,NZDerby,GNG,HbayG…Unr……Placed
JohnnyCash-11w-AlisonC,RaceCH,WaiGC,3dAuckx2..Unp…….Unr

15….For those of you who live in New Zealand, and have been
involved or interested in racing, I’m sure you will quickly recognize
these horses as really stand-out gallopers. There are a lot of Champions
here, ranked the best racehorse of their time, and Horses Of The Year..
------------------------------------------------------------------------
SimonDeMontford-10w-WellCup,3QuElizH……….Unp6x….Placed
Balmerino-22w-BrisC,NZDerby,WellDerby,2dArc…Unr……Unp3x
Veandercross-15w-7xG1-$2,602,524……………..Unr…………3w
YirTiz-14w-G1233LLL,2G112………………………Unr…….Unr
Bonecrusher-18w-G1111111112223,2dG123,3G11….Unp2x..Unp2x
AlAkbar-8w-G1233………………………………….Unp…..1win
Oopik-11w-SydneyC,IntS,GNGuineas, HBGuineas …Unr……..unp
KiwiCan-17w-GeoA,EasterH,ThomsonH,EvSteChallC..Placed..Unr
Mamselle-5w-MitchCup,WaikatoGoldCup………....Unp5x…..1w
FoxMyth-10w-GNDerby,StL,WellCup,MitchC…….Unp3x……1w

16…If our colt RED MAGIC could equal the race record of any single
horse here on the 148 horse New Zealand list, or equal any of the 78
horses found in the NZ Catalogues that raced completely or mostly in
Australia, we would also be very happy, and over the moon.
Check out the really outstanding gallopers in the Aussie list as well..
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
Meldie-14w-InverGoldCup,WinterC,………………Unp6x…..Unp5x
NoShow-15w –OtakiS,PearceH,2ManawatuC,ThomH…Unr….Unr
Kaukapakapa-9w-GeoAH, RotoruaGC,……………..Unr….1w
Kalgoolie-26w-KingsP,AllAgedS,JacksS……………Unp…….1win
Royal Cadenza-11w-AuckC,RawsonS,2FoxP3CaulS..Unr..Unr..1w
Mammoth-11w-FoxtonC,PresH,DuncanH……Pl….Unp3x…Unp1x
Royal Chief-23w-NICS,AvonG,NZD,NZStL,CantCx2,plx1-5s…unr
Defaulter-22w-NICS,NZDerby,GNDerby,WellC...1w/4starts,..unp10s
Kindergarten-25w-WellC,EasterHx2,AuckC…..2w/19s…unp6x
Gloaming-57w-NZDerby,AJCDerby,NICSx3….unp4x….2w…1w

17…One of the inconsistencies here, which is very hard for the
mind to get around is the fact that there is none, or almost no ability
for 2 or 3 generations in a row along the dam line. And then when
put mainly to sires that themselves in the majority of cases were
not top class, suddenly comes forth with outstanding racing ability.

18...This means that there are more important principles such as
breeding intensity and outstanding gallopers back in the pedigree
which have to be taken into account when assessing your matings.

19…I have heard hundreds of times how bad bred many of these
good horses are, but when you examine the pedigrees in total,
there are multiple standout ancestors lurking reasonably close up
in the background of every one of these pedigrees.

20…If you are a newcomer to pedigrees, or buying, closely examine
THE WHOLE PEDIGREE to make sure nearly all the background
ancestors are high class. Don’t accept other peoples ill considered
opinions. DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH, set your own standards,
and take responsibility for your actions when they have been
the result of well considered research.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
DesertGold-36w-Derby,Oaks,AwapuniGoldCx2..unp4x…3w/13s…1w
DarylsJoy-16w-ManSProdS,CaulG,CoxP,VRCDerby..Unr.2w/28s.Unr
Ansin-6w-WellCup……………….Unp5x…….Pl….Unp1x…Unp2x
Purdie-11w-ManCup,WellH,2dWellDerby,StL……..1w…….Unr
Sharif-11w-TelegraphH,2ndRailwayH…………….Placed….Placed
ShifnalChief-16w-CpCookS,WellS,RailwayH……..Unplaced….Unr
QuiteAble-10w-NZCup, ManC,DunC,2dWellC…….Unp3x……Unr
Quondo-9w-MemH,2dInterT,WinterCup…………Unr……..Placed
Spa-11w-WhyteH,WatkinsH,SummerH………….Unplaced…Placed
SwellTime-4w-GNOaks,ThoroBrS,2WellD,WellO..Unraced…Unraced

21…I have compiled every pedigree here out to 15 generations, and it is
euphoric to keep seeing brilliant breeding methods in the backgrounds
over and over. There are fantastic build-ups, complicated structures,
reinforced patterns, intricate ancestries and its mind-boggling just trying
to see all the happenings in the pedigrees that Nature is rewarding with
either speed, or stamina, or class.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tambelina-7w-InterCup,2dAvonFoleyMem..Unplaced..Placed..Placed
YoungIda-12w-AwapGCup,WangGC,GNOaks,NZO.1win…Placed
FarTime-8w-InterS,WelS,CantGC,2dGND,WellD….Placed….Placed
ApolloEleven-10w-SydneyC,AuckC,TancredC……..Unr…….Unr
Picaroon-28w-AwapunGCx2,TrenS,HbayGCupx3.Unr.1w…Unp1x
Breathalyser-5w-GNOaks,NZThoroS,ChallS………Unp…..Unr
CambridgeFair-14w-WhyteHx2,PremSH..…………Pl……Unr
Bodie…7wG1AuckCup-G3L-5P-$388,425……….(3w)……unr
Vinaka…8wG1Railway,G1Telegraph…..(2w?)……Unr…..Unr
MyQuota-8wG24G12$183,875…Unp1x—Unp---Unp
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
22….Another hard to understand concept here is the fact that so
many of these examples have toughness, soundness and an ability
to race often against the best available horses. I went into the
pedigrees and found there were good ancestors in the background,
just don’t understand how you can harness it at will. Seems that
over large numbers, this ability can be passed on to a small
percentage of descendents. What struck me was the intense ancestry
and breeding methods that helped pre-potency and
speed/stamina/class allowed these horses to have the ability to win
these races, but the conformation to withstand the pressure was
reliant on physical traits passed on by the ancestry, and this was
in the background.

23…Quite a number of these great gallopers had conformation
problems, and this is a natural consequence of having the nearest
two dams with limited ability. One of the major problems is that
very inbred animals have faults doubled up and pass this on.

24…Some brilliant horses from certain lines seem to have brilliance
and fragility in double doses and they are passed on in combination
and you can’t get one without getting the other.

25…Bonecrusher had a pronounced leg deviation which came down
like many others from his Star Kingdom line. So many of the
Oncidium and Gate Keeper stars broke down because of the legacy
from the Alcide sire line. There are traits of unsoundness,
temperament, lack of size, sulking, quitting, slow starters, hard track
specialists, wet track specialists, and coarse bone which are very
well known in the progeny of sires at stud at the moment, but libel
and law-suits favour secrecy and inhibit accurate information being
made available which would help breeders.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
NatTheBrat-9wG33LLL$150,730---Unr—Unp1x
Kiss-8w-G23L-5P---Unr---Unp1x
RegalChief-8wG1AvondaleGoldCup,G2-$328,105--Unr..Unr..Pl
FieldDancer-9wG11$429,565……Unr—1w
JustADancer-8wG1122-$1,14,785….unr—1w
TwelveGauge-8wL,2G1123,3L$170,060…..Unr-…Unr
StReims-11wG11-$673,250…….Unr…Unp
Champagne-7wG11333,2G111-$1,918,280
Elevenses-5wG112,2G12$321,375…1w…unp
MissEtoile-7wG33…..Unr…Unr
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
26….If this list seems extensive, and astounding while illustrating
the point that limited ability in the 1st 2 or 3 dams has resulted in
hundreds of top line horses, you may be blown away by the fact
that I found nearly 200 other horses that were only slightly inferior
to these, and which could qualify, and some with even better ability
that would have qualified on one or two limited dams, but had some
performance somewhere so these examples were passed over,
and not included…So the above list is by no means exhaustive,
and a case could be made for listing nearly 300 other examples..
SO, DO NOT BE PUT OFF BY THIS TRAIT, IF THE REST
OF THE CRITERIA IS OUTSTANDING.
---------------------------------------------------------------------
Hail-9wG1123L$1,061,812…..1w…Unr…Unr
CamallinoStar-8wLLLL,2LLL…..Pl……Placed
GingaDude-7wG2L,2G2L$344,000….1w…Unp
LadyAloof-12wL,2L,3LL$114,855…Unr…Unr
Daria’sFun-12wG133L,2G1,3G3L…Unr…unr
GoldDust-11wG3L,2G33333……..Unr…unp
Maxam-7wG2L,2G1AuckC,2G1BrisC-4P…unr….unr
Peat-9w.G3L,2LLL,3G3LL,4G33……Unr…unr
KingOfAshford-12wG23LL$366,905…Unr…Unr
MossDowns-9wG11-6P$306,170…Unr…unr
--------------------------------------------------------------------
27…A development over the last 10 to 15 years has seen
SELECTION operating in the main yearling sales.
This business inititive has put a PREMIUM on
PERFORMANCE along the dam line and BLACK TYPE
performers in the near removes of the family.

28..The result has been a doubling of putting the BEST TO
THE BEST, the selection of fewer high quality commercial
Sires, just about every top mare going to one of a dozen
High class sires, a big lowering of quality going to fringe
Sires outside the top dozen, AND MUCH HIGHER PRICES
FOR THE SELECT or COMMERCIAL YEARLINGS.

29…The greater returns have resulted in more money for
the auctioneers, for the breeders operating at this level,
plus higher Stud Fees for the best stallions and their owners,
and the ability to fund expensive SHUTTLE sires that
possess superior pedigrees and racing ability.

30….Overall, the rising costs have put a large burden on
the owners who pick up the tab for all costs in the industry.
Their costs have double and tripled, stakes up until recently
had moved upwards very slowly, and the owners now have
to specialize towards SPEED, otherwise they would not be
able to compete even in Maiden races which are run at a
much faster rate than previously.

31…Unless owners can find more money to compete with
buying the best bred yearlings, pay more for all Industry
related costs, put emphasis on speed, they RUN THE RISK
OF BEING LEFT BEHIND.

32..This is why SYNDICATION has increased dramatically in
recent years. However, very sharp business people have added
another dimension where owners have had huge padded costs
added to their already high priced involvement in this Industry.
NEW OWNERS NEED TO INVOLVE THEMSELVES MORE,
GATHER MORE INFORMATION, MAKE BETTER DECISIONS.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Zepherin-3wG1,2G23,3g1Derby,3g3,4L…Unp…Unp3x
CinderBella-12wG112233L,2G111233$711,150..Unp2x..unp2x..placed
SecondComing-6wG11L,2g12,3g1222L$1,131,170…unr….unr
Achilles-25wWangG,NIChallSx2,WellC….unr…unp2x…..unp
Gladsome-27w..Oaks,GNDerby,WellC….unp2x…unp1x
Bobrikoff-24w..AuckC,AllAgedS,AuckPx2…1w…placed,...unplaced
Sasanof-20w..MelC,WellC,GNDerby,NZCup…..unp24x….unr
Tamatete-24w..WangG,TelegraphH,ManSx2…..unr…placed…unr
Rapine-23w..WellC,StL,StL,AuckC,HBCup…unp1x…unp1x…
Rapier-18w-NZCup,AuckC,WellC…..Unr…unr
-------------------------------------------------------------------

33..These examples here show clearly that the business decisions
to make money are not necessarily in line with Nature’s principles.
All the business people concerned certainly have increased their
chances of making an increased profit(At the expense of the owners)

34..These commercial yearlings that are making 5 and 10 times the
price of bygone years are often OVERFED, UNSOUND, LACK
CONSTITUTION.

35…THEY ALSO HAVE A HIGH FAILURE RATE. Would be
interesting to make a statistical study of every commercial yearling
from the Select Sale for 10 years. In the absence of accurate
information, I would guess about 1 in 10 would ultimately end up
as successful racehorses and pay their way. (90% FAILURE RATE?)

36…Of course, if you go the CHEAPO way, then your task would
be definitely harder to find a good racehorse that would pay it’s way.

37…As a matter of course, you would have to contend with less
successful breeding by sire and dam, less performance up close
in the ancestry, more faults, usually less pre-potent parents,
less well related or successful family, less qualified people
putting the principles together, less qualified rearing, and less
chance of getting to the best trainers.

38…YOUR ODDS OF GETTING A GOOD HORSE FROM
BELOW OR OUTSIDE THE COMMERCIAL ELITE COULD
BE AS LOW AS 1 HORSE IN A HUNDRED, even though we
have given a couple of hundred examples with possible 300 more
highly successful racehorses.

39…Don’t be misled, the odds are against you .SO THIS SHOWS
HOW IMPORTANT IT IS TO DO YOUR HOMEWORK,
LESSEN THE RISKS, & INCREASE YOUR CHANCES
WITH GOOD JUDGEMENT.
---------------------------------------------------------------------
Cuddle-23w-NZCup,AuckCx2,DonH,KingsPx2..pl..unp4x..unpl
Beaumaris-14w-NZDerby,WellC,GNStL,AuckC..Unr…3w/29s….unr
Arcon-9w-9w-WangC,MetH,PahiatuaC….1w….Unr…..1w….pl
CityCourt-8w-WellCup,2dAuckC,3dNZD,StL…Unr…Unr…Unp5x
Resemblance-8w-AutH,SumH,WairC,3dWellC….Pl…….Unp4x
SurpriseEnding-9w-NZStL,GNOaks…………….Unp3x,….1w
DaVinci-19w-TeleH,ShortsH,StewH……………Unp5x…….Unr
CastleDee-12w-AnnivH,NolanH,PresH………Unr…..Unr….Unr
ShelleyBurford-15wCuddleS,ManM,StewH…..1w….Unr…Unp1x
Peterford-12w-WinOats,WainuiH,StewH………..Unr……Unr
------------------------------------------------------------------
40…








--------------------------------------------------------------------
Thunderhead-4w-GNGuineas,ChamS,2dGNDerby..Pl…unp…1w
WoodCourtInn-7w-1000G,NICS, ChamS……….Unr……Unr
Chantal-9w-EpsomH, GeoMainS,GeoAdams…Unr…Unr…..1w
PointDuty-14w-GloamS,MartonC,PresH……….placed…..Placed
Elkayel-9w-HBayC,CornH,2dMelC,3dCaulC..Unr….Unr…Unr
IrishWhip-10w-BrisC,CharmH,FrankCx2..Unr.Unr.Unr…Unp4x
RomanConsul-8w-NZDerby,GloamS,SpenH….Unp1x…Unp2x
StraightLead-8w-MemH,TeArohaH,2dAuckC……placed…Unr
MayoGold-18w-WellO,RailwayH,GNG,NICS..Unr..Unp6..1w
Bardall-19w-FoxPx2MitcC,GNDerby,GNGuin….Unr…..Unp
--------------------------------------------------------------------
41..





--------------------------------------------------------------------
Tesla-10w-AuckC,EastH,JockCH………………..Unr…..Unr
Poetical-9w-HBayG,NZCup,2dGNDerby…..2w……Unr…Unr
WanderingWays-10wEasterH,KingsP,RailwayH…Unr….Unp1x
SleepyDuke-11w-ChurH,MemH,………………….Unr…..Unr
Artifice-8w-AuckCup,QuElizH……………………1w…….Pl
DareDevil-6w-CantGC,HbayG,3GNDerby………..Pl……..Pl
FairviewLad-5w-NZDerby,WangG,2dGNGuineas..Unr..Placed
Beatnik-12w-GeoAH,AvonGCup,HarcS,………Unp5x……Unp
LaurelOaks-8w-GeoAH,SumC,ChallS………Unp6x……Plx5
Spectre-HerbPH,OlogMem,BOPIntT,3dWellC…Unr.Unplaced
----------------------------------------------------------------
42



------------------------------------------------------------------
AnIllusion-8w-CuddleS,GeoAdamsH………….Placed…..Placed
AyubKhan--14w-ThompsonH,3dBPOInvTrophy…1w…..Unr
Arcon-9w-MetH,WangGoldCup,2WellH………..1w……Unr
Jan’sBeau-21w-AvonC,ChampS,NewH,AustCup……2w….Unp
Beauzami-14w-NZCup,HarcS,QuElizH……………2w…….Unp
Ahjay-19w-WhyteH,MemsieS,3dMemsieS………….1w……unr
CurlyWave-12w-HarcS,ChallS,AvonG,CpCookS..Unp3x…1w
Iechyd-4w-ChallS,KingsP,2d2000G,3dWellDerby….Unr….1w
Jandell-11w-ChallS,GNOaks,QuElizS,ChNortS….unp5x…unp4x
NewMoon-12w-AutumnDH,2dRailway………..Unp4x…..Unr
Ballybrit-7w-GtNFoalS,AvonS,2dWelS………..Pl……..Unp3x
CattleKing-11w-CornwallH,ParliamHx2,WhyteH…..Unr….Unr
Entice-5w-NZ1000G,EulogySm2dNZOaks…….1w………Pl
FortHagen-15w-wellH,ChalS,WaikatoC……….1w………unr
GreyWay-51w-AwaGC,HBChallS,TopsyS………..unp4x….2w
HappyUnion-6w-NZStL,StarsT,ChamS,3WellD…..Unp2x…Unr
KauereLad-10w-WinterC,2dBensonHedgesCup…..Unp7x…Unp
MarchLegend-11w-CantGC,HarcourtS,2d2000G…Unr..Placed
Patronize-5w-GeoAdamsH,RoseTownH………..Unr…….Unr
Perhaps-6w-…AuckCup,BloodSS........................Unr..Unp6x
FairFilou-16w-HarcourtS,WellHx2,QuElizH,AvonC…Unr….Unr
Rainfall-11w-AvonGCup,CalMile,CornwH…………Unr….Unr
WoolAway-10w-BallaratCup,WanganuiCup……….Unr….Unp3x
BoulderBlock-5w-GNGuineas,CamBreedS,2dHNGuineas..Unr..Pl
Execute-22w-AuckH,GNHurdle,FoundersP……….Unr…..1win
Harrisand-6w-WangG,ChampS,2ndGtNG,WellG…..unp-Unr
Jocasta-6w-NiveaS, NICS,MataBrS…………….Unr……1win
Kenaan-4w-NZStL,WellDerby,PresH,2dAvonG….Unr…….Unr
LyndaMary-6w-AvonG,DunedinG,3d1000G………1w…….unr
NipO’Scotch-7w-MetroH,ChampS…………….Unr……..Unr
ApolloEleven-12w-ChNortanS,TrenthS,SydC,AuckC…Unr..Unr
Roysyn-7w-NZDerby,NZStakes,QuElizH,WellS….unp….Unp
MunLee-14w-LionBrS,GNOaks,AwapuniGCup..Unpl….Placed
Hades-4w-NZDerby,2dSheemaC,ChampC,HKGoldC..Unr…pl
AllInFun-17w-G112233333…………………1w…..Unr….Unp
Alamosa-10w-G1111223L,2G12,3G1……..1w…3w….Unp2x

AUSTRALIA-78 horses

Triton-NZ-10w-StradH,AllAgedS,WintCup……….Pl4x……Unr
ClassicMission-NZ-9w-AJCDerby,VRCDerby….Unp….Unp3x
Marmalitre-NZ..5wG1-AustOaks-…………..unp………Unp
Octagonal-NZ-14wG1$5,892,231……………..Unp...1win
Whittier-17w-CaulCx2,VRCDerby,RawsonS…….unr…unr
RisingFast-NZ-24w-CaulCx2,MelCup,CoxP….unp2x…unr1win
PharLap-NZ-37w-AJCDerby,VRCDerby,MelC,CoxP..unp.1w..unr
EvenStevens-NZ-11w-CaulC,MelC,FisherP….Unp1x….Unp2x…..
Galilee-NZ-18w-CaulC,MelC,SydneyCup.Placed..unp3x…..1win
KingRautai-10wL2L3LL$244,200….Unr…Unp…Unp2x
IlFerrari-10wG3,2G23L,3G3,4G3$147,140…..placed…unr
BonsaiPipeline-NZ-9wG23,2G12233ll-4P$305,220…unr…unr
StrawberryRoad-17wG111…1win…1win
CossackWarrior-7wG22,2G222,3G122-$305,130…Unr…unr
Subzero-6wG11MelCup,Derby-$1,951,180…Unr…unp2x
FairSir-NZ-5wG12,2G111123,3G11…unp1x…1w
HearThatBell-9wG2L,2G12L$368,755….Unr….Unr
ClayHero-8wG1233L$513,900’’’’1w….Unp2x
Buck’sPride-21wG22LLL,2G12LLL…..1w…Unp….1w…pl
Emancipation-19wG111111-4544,760…..Unr…1w
SovereignRed-NZ-10wG11$566,350…1w…Unp6x
GurnersLane-NZ-7wG112MelC,CaulC…..1w….unp
MrInnocent-14wG1222$1,760,650…Unr….Unr
GrandArchway-9wG11112L$1,757,020…..pl…..1w
Sphenophyta-NZ-5wG1l,2G3L.$699,940….Unr…unr….unr
MissTessla-NZ-9wG2L,2G22333L,6P-….pl…1w…pl
BroadReachNZ-8wG1223L,3G1…Unr….unp
Juggler-15wG11112223333L$2,468,160….pl……unp3x…unp4x
LaCarabine-15wAustC,SydC,ChampS….unr…1walkover
SweetNell-11wCaulC,SiresPrS,CaulC,CaulG,Oaks..unp13x..unp3x
Carlita-13w-Oaks,Derby,ChampS,KingsP,CravenP.unr..unr...unp
Poitrel-17w-MelC,AutumnSx2,SpringSx2….1w…unr…unp
TheHawk-32w-HBGs,TelegrH,CaulS,RawS,TarSx2..unr..unp2x.unr
Valicare-9w-RawsonS,DonH,AllAgedS…..placed,…unp15x
HighSyce-24w-Guineas,ProdS,Derby,StL…..unp5x…unr…unr
PeterPan-23w-MelCx2,AJCDerby,StL,RawS,MelSx2.unr..unp3x.unr
TranquilStar-23w-StL,CaulC,CoxPx2,LloydSx2..plx1/10s…plx1/14s
Bernborough-26w-NewH,10,000,DoombC….unp8x…unp3x
Flight-24w-CoxPx2,AJCPlate,MackinnonS……unp5x…1win…unr
Russia-23w-MelC,MetH,AJCPlatex2…………unr…unr…unr
Shannon-20w-2WRecordsHollywGC,GeoMSx2,Epsom.3w/27s..unr.unp
Delta-22w-CoxP,CantG,VRCDerby,StL……1w/29s…unr….unr
Chicquita-16w-1000G,Oaks,ListonS, CraigleeS.2w/14s..unp1x…unr
Sailor’sGuide-18w-WashDCIn,VRCDerby,StL,SydC….unp17x…unr
EveningPeel-11w-AJCOaks,VRCOaks,QOaks,MelC..unr.unp3x…unr
Todman-10w-GoldSlip,SprodS,CantG,FutS.1win/15s.1win/19s.1win
Noholme-10w-Epsom,ChamS,CoxP….1win/15s…1win/19s….1win
Wiggle-20w-ChamS,CaulG,AClarkS,MatronH….Unp4x…Unr…Unp
LightFingers-NZ-15w-VRCOaks,MelC,AJCOaks..unp14x..2w/30s..unp
Winfreux-27w-StradbrokeH,DoombenC, CaulS….Unr…1w/28s….Unr
RainLover-17w-MelCupx2,AdelaideC,MackinnonS…..1w/8s….Unr…
Gunsynd-29w-Epsom, Toorak,DonH,CoxP…placed…unp5x…1win
Ripa-NZ-13w-SanGuineas,Toorak,NewmH,LoydS…Pl….unp…..1w
RedHanded-NZ-9w-MelCup,QuC,AldC,2dCaulC……Unr…..Placed
BigPhilou-NZ-9w-CaulC,QuElizS,…………………….Unr…..Placed
Fileur-14w-Turnbull,Memsie,2dMelC,CoxP……..Unr……Unp3x
Fulmen-NZ-17w-StL,BrisC,AdeC,……………….Unr…….Unp3x
GayFilouNZ-13w-ToorakH,2AustC,2dToorakH…Unr…Unp3x
Lancelot-NZ-9w-EasterC,ChurcS,2dAdeC……..Unr…….Unp4x
RajahSahib-NZ-14w-DonH,StradH,GeoAH,CoxP……Unr……Unr
DarkSuit-NZ-8w-SydneyCup,2dDukeONorfolkS….Unp5x….Unp1x
SkintDip-NZ-13w-moonVGCup,MackinS,FoxP….Unr…..Unp4x
Zambari-14w-LightS,LivCCup,2dGalaxy…………..Pl…….Placed
Quezette-NZ-7w-MerCoopS,2SPrS,WakefS,3dOaks..Unp6x..Unr
Citadel-NZ-14w-DukeOfNorfolkS,EpsomH….Pl…..Unp3x…1w
Sometime-NZ-22w-CaulCup,SAStL,ClarkSx2,CaulS.Unp3x..1w
DarkSuit-NZ-10w-FisherH,SydneyC,2dSydCup…Unp5x….Unp1x
Dayana-NZ-9w-VRCDerby,AustD,PerthC,SADerby..Unr…1w
GoldBrick-NZ-4w-AJCDerby,ChampS,CantGuineas….Unr..Unr
IrishWhip-NZ-9w-BrisCup,ChalmersH,3dSydneyC….Unr…Unr
LordNelson-NZ-17w-DoombC,LivC,3dDonH,StradH..Unp1x..Unr
Sobar-NZ-6w-CaulC,CaulG,UnderS, 2dVRCDerby…Unr….1w
Tavel-NZ-13w-AdelaideCupx2,2dHothamH,BendigoC….Pl….1w
Zambari-NZ-23w-OakP,CarrS,LightS,LivCityH…Placed..Placed
HeroicIsle-NZ-11w-SprodS,DollarS,2dO’MaraS..Unraced..Unraced
Igloo-NZ-14w-BrisC,Auts,ChNortS,MetH……….Unr………2w
SwellTime-5w-CaulCup,GNOaks,BreedS,2WellD,Oaks..Unr..Unr
Wong-11w-G113L,2G333L,3G11233……….Unr…1w…..1w
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
A FEW OTHERS NZ BREDS THAT TURNED UP
Ouzo-NZ-13w-2xHorseOYear-Sing-LLLLLL,2LL….Unr…Pl
AbleOne-6w.G1-HKMile,G3,2G1………Unr…Placed..placed
Sledgehammer-20w-InternS,ChampS,SmirfP,BensonH..Unr..Unr
SunMonarch-11w-SugarS,ChnursS…………….Unp……1w